ETC CM report 2022/05: Trends and projections in the EU ETS in 2022

15 Dec 2022

Christian Nissen (Öko-Institut), Johanna Cludius (Öko-Institut), Sabine Gores (Öko-Institut), Hauke Hermann (Öko-Institut)

EEA project manager: Javier Esparrago 


This report analyses recent, current and future emissions trends under the European Union (EU) Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS). It also analyses the balance between supply and demand of allowances on the market. This report is based on data and information provided by the European Commission and Member States as of July 2022. The data on verified emissions and compliance of operators under the EU ETS for the years up to 2021 are based on an extract from the EU Transaction Log on 1 July 2022.

This report is divided into four parts: Recent trends, long-term trends and projected emission trends, as well as one section dedicated to an outlook to 2030, including a discussion of the revision to the ETS proposed as part of the Commission’s “Fit for 55” package.